Uncertainty Reduction in the Neural Network’s Weather Forecast for the Andean City of Quito Through the Adjustment of the Posterior Predictive Distribution Based on Estimators

Ricardo Llugsi , Allyx Fontaine , Pablo Lupera , Jessica Bechet , Samira El Yacoubi (1)

1 IMAGES-Espace DEV - Institut de Modélisation et d'Analyses en géo-environnement et santé - Espace Développement

Keywords: Neural network; Uncertainty; Bayesian; Weight decay; Walk forward validation; Dropout regularization

Domains: Computer Science [cs]

Ricardo Llugsi, Allyx Fontaine, Pablo Lupera, Jessica Bechet, Samira El Yacoubi. Uncertainty Reduction in the Neural Network’s Weather Forecast for the Andean City of Quito Through the Adjustment of the Posterior Predictive Distribution Based on Estimators. Communications in Computer and Information Science. Springer, Cham, vol. 1307, pp.535-548, 2020, ⟨10.1007/978-3-030-62833-8_39⟩. ⟨hal-03041895⟩